Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.931611 1.142546 1.368678 1.626986 1.911835 2.214492 2.558548
2024-10-20 0.615476 0.888526 1.206727 1.595598 2.049526 2.555202 3.153991
2024-10-27 0.524552 0.842088 1.231700 1.726436 2.321617 3.000561 3.820381
2024-11-03 0.448958 0.798517 1.248398 1.839088 2.567814 3.415144 4.454090
2024-11-10 0.392781 0.767224 1.269809 1.948381 2.802633 3.810879 5.061712
2024-11-17 0.347362 0.742184 1.293103 2.055470 3.031947 4.198932 5.660701
2024-11-24 0.290513 0.689786 1.271958 2.099304 3.178395 4.484649 6.136863
2024-12-01 0.233031 0.625508 1.226464 2.104874 3.272031 4.703145 6.530736
2024-12-08 0.169942 0.537818 1.137227 2.043382 3.273497 4.803810 6.778992
2024-12-15 0.120208 0.460797 1.054532 1.983342 3.270912 4.894975 7.012177
2024-12-22 0.086036 0.403906 0.995977 1.951667 3.301243 5.023930 7.288823
2024-12-29 0.067289 0.375467 0.980429 1.980073 3.410798 5.252642 7.688688
2025-01-05 0.046464 0.335365 0.944820 1.982840 3.493733 5.459260 8.077879
2025-01-12 0.027718 0.288701 0.891667 1.955696 3.534233 5.611733 8.401647
2025-01-19 0.026341 0.300821 0.948332 2.099832 3.815086 6.078035 9.122043
2025-01-26 0.023797 0.307248 0.993979 2.227097 4.073199 6.516123 9.808943
2025-02-02 0.021159 0.311943 1.035994 2.348808 4.324078 6.945721 10.486549
2025-02-09 0.018668 0.315948 1.076443 2.468300 4.572519 7.373208 11.163060
2025-02-16 0.013001 0.299402 1.073626 2.517023 4.719521 7.667049 11.670203
2025-02-23 0.007200 0.272458 1.045998 2.523236 4.804215 7.877816 12.071320
2025-03-02 0.002021 0.228830 0.975941 2.454802 4.777704 7.938553 12.278969
2025-03-09 0.000132 0.190320 0.909760 2.387908 4.749834 7.994833 12.478801
2025-03-16 NaN 0.162982 0.864235 2.352579 4.765387 8.106786 12.747731